March 10, 2023
Our multi-asset allocation strategy based on inflation nowcasts and RavenPack sentiment analytics outperforms the S&P 500 and stabilizes volatility. With real Sharpe ratios of up to 1.25 and a risk control approach, it delivers a compelling inflation hedge for investors.
RavenPack’s latest white paper proposes a multi-asset allocation strategy for hedging against inflation, which maximizes the portfolio's mean-variance criterion by investing in equities, commodities, and bonds based on inflation nowcasts. Backtested against the US equity market, a 10-year US government bond, and six conventional commodity indexes, the proposed strategy outperformed the S&P 500® in terms of return, volatility, Sharpe ratio, and maximum drawdown.
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RavenPack Nowcasting accurately and promptly predicts real-time economic variables. It is based on a cutting-edge combination of low-frequency macroeconomic variables and high-frequency sentiment indicators.
Our recent white paper illustrated that the nowcasting model with RavenPack Analytics outperforms standard approaches for asset allocation.
Using a cutting-edge approach that incorporates at a large scale low-frequency macro-economic variables with high-frequency sentiment indicators, RavenPack is able to nowcast China's macroeconomic indicators with enhanced accuracy and timeliness.
High inflation has returned in developed markets after decades of lying low. In our latest paper, we show how to build an inflation-based asset allocation strategy using sentiment data and we illustrate that sentiment-based strategies outperform models that depend merely on past observed inflation values.
In this presentation, Paolo Andreini, Senior Data Scientist at RavenPack, introduced a macroeconomic nowcasting model,based on RavenPack EDGE, that can help predict real-time economic activity.
RavenPack presents a macroeconomic nowcasting model that leverages its EDGE data platform to predict real-time economic activity of four important emerging market economies: Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa.