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research | Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodities

Video: Enhancing Macroeconomic Nowcasters with Big Data

In this talk, Salman discusses an approach to harness big data and improve an existing nowcasting framework in order to better understand the risks and potentially enhancing the performance of investments decisions.

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research | Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodities

How to Use Event Data for Global Macro and Mid-Term Equity Trading

Webinar: how to extract signals from RavenPack event data for mid-term equity trading. We also highlight practical use cases for Global Macro, Trade War and Brexit. Co-hosted by RavenPack and Wolfe Research. Watch the highlights and request the full video and slide deck below.

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research | Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodities

News in Macroeconomics Forecasting - Video and Slides

In terms of what we have in regards to big data in the world that tells you something about economic activity. So if you want to predict microeconomic activity, then you need all the data to be infinity precise. What we do is aggregate everything into a few macroeconomics indicators, such as interest rates, balance of payments, production and so forth.

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research | Commodities

Energy Futures Trading with Machine Learning & Event Detection

We show how combining all models produce solid risk-adjusted returns with lower average bias and without the need to select one particular model.

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research | Commodities

A Textual Analysis of News Events for Crude Oil

Considering news analytics as part of an oil price prediction model, we’re able to include information which is otherwise hard to capture. This allows for new avenues to explore when it comes to alpha capture.

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Latest Blog Articles

Global Panic Falls, an Infodemic of Fake News, and Forecasting Second Lockdowns

In our latest COVID update, global panic falls to levels that might correspond with a more positive outlook for the coronavirus pandemic, the Fake News Index hits a 3-month high as an infodemic of misinformation and fake news spreads, and we explore the art of forecasting second lockdowns using our news analytics platform.

ADP Employment Miss - Forewarning in Trump Sentiment?

ADP employment change rose by 167k in July, sharply below the above 1 million expected. Could investors have foreseen the miss? We find that a decline in sentiment for Donald Trump often precedes macroeconomic misses, and today’s data was no exception. Read more here.

Trump Trims Biden's Lead, New Hampshire Swings Republican, the Dollar’s Election Decline

In this update, Trump gains New Hampshire, Texas reverts to Republican and the Dollar’s correlation with approval ratings.

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